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“,”elementId”:”a1adffb8-66cf-49a4-8225-2d0a29c06483″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
When asked which leadership candidate would be most likely to become prime minister if they become Conservative leader, one in five Britons say James Cleverly (21%) marking a 7-point increase since late September 2024 before Conservative party conference. Robert Jenrick trails behind at 10%, with Tom Tugendhat and Kemi Badenoch at 7% each. The main shift here being between those saying don\u2019t know (-6) and those saying Mr Cleverly is most likely (+7).<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
However, more than one in four still say they don\u2019t know (27%) and 28% think none of the candidates are likely to become prime minister.<\/p>\n
n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
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on Tory leadership candidates”,”caption”:”Polling on Tory leadership candidates”,”credit”:”Photograph: Ipsos”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
But the polling also suggests, as the public heard and read about the last four candidates in the contest while the Tory conference was happening, all of them saw their net favourability ratings with the public at large go down. Cleverly\u2019s ratings only fell by 2 points, from -16 to -18. But Tom Tugendhat\u2019s fell by 6 points, and Kemi Badenoch\u2019s and Robert Jenrick\u2019s both fell by 8 points.<\/p>\n
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On this measure, Badenoch is the most unpopular candidate, with a net favourability rating of -26, followed by Jenrick (-24), Tugendhat (-19) and Cleverly (-18).<\/p>\n
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on Tory leadership candidates.”,”caption”:”Polling on Tory leadership candidates.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Polling on Tory leadership candidates\/Ipsos”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1728389746000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”08.15\u00a0EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1728390876000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”08.34\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1728390714000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”08.31\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”08.31″,”title”:”Voters see Cleverly as Tory leadership candidate with best chance of becoming PM, poll suggests”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 8 Oct 2024 08.42 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 8 Oct 2024 04.17 EDT”},{“id”:”670519948f082d63bdcc3db8″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
The UK population is estimated to have risen by 1.0% in the year to June 2023, the largest annual percentage increase since comparable data began in 1971, according to a report<\/a> from the Office for National Statistics<\/strong>. In its report on the figures PA Media says:<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”aa6f9061-cb05-43db-bbf7-2d5dd51f5943″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
Some 68,265,200 people were likely to have been resident in the UK in the middle of last year, up 662,400 from 67,602,800 12 months earlier.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
The jump of 1.0% in the year to mid-2023 follows a rise of 0.9% in the year to mid-2022, according to the ONS.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
It means the UK population is estimated to have increased by 1.28 million in the two years to mid-2023.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
The rise of 662,400 in the 12 months to June 2023 is also the largest annual numerical increase since comparable data began in 1971.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
Net international migration was the main contributor to the rise in population for all four countries of the UK in the year to mid-2023, the ONS said.<\/p>\n
n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
“,”elementId”:”ddb63b3e-d190-46e0-ae98-a2a582505b64″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
Asked about the figures at the Downing Street<\/strong> lobby briefing, the PM\u2019s spokesperson said Keir Starmer was determined to bring net migration down. The spokesperson said:<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”ca369789-4bcc-47c1-94d3-00d50eb70128″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
The PM and the home secretary have been clear that overall net migration does need to come down, and we should end the situation where legal migration is used as an alternative to tackling skill shortages in the UK.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
And indeed, we\u2019ve made announcements recently to achieve this, including the Migration Advisory Committee conducting annual assessments to highlight key sectors where labour market failures have led to rocketing overseas recruitment and the fact that rules around migrant sponsorship will be toughened to ensure employers guilty of flouting employment laws are banned from hiring from abroad.<\/p>\n
n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
“,”elementId”:”d96828a7-0b3d-4d57-8424-bd030be19211″}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1728387476000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.37\u00a0EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1728388109000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.48\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1728387846000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.44\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.44″,”title”:”UK population up 1% to 68.3m, largest annual rise since 1971, largely due to net migration, ONS says”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 8 Oct 2024 08.42 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 8 Oct 2024 04.17 EDT”},{“id”:”670515da8f082d63bdcc3d99″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
According a Financial Times report<\/a>, the UK government\u2019s borrowing costs have risen sharply, \u201cfuelled by investor concerns about the Labour government\u2019s budget, pushing the gap with Germany to the widest in more than a year\u201d.<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”c7ad55aa-b1ac-42b7-90c9-99ecaa9e4577″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
In their report, Ian Smith<\/strong> and Sam Fleming<\/strong> say:<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”9c3755cf-1a1b-4e62-9c6e-4acd05fb1e03″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
With three weeks to go to Rachel Reeves\u2019 first Budget, bondholders say the UK chancellor will have to walk a \u201ctightrope\u201d if she is to proceed with her borrowing and investment plans without triggering a gilt sell-off.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
The spread between UK and German benchmark 10-year bond yields has already risen to 1.94 percentage points, its highest since August 2023, on worries Reeves will increase debt, as well as concerns about persistent inflation, investors say.<\/p>\n
n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
“,”elementId”:”7f5154cd-2fd4-463f-9297-3d600bf3ab96″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
At the Downing Street lobby briefing this morning the PM\u2019s spokesperson said he did not accept the claim that uncertainty about what the government would do was pushing up borrowing costs. He said:<\/p>\n
“,”elementId”:”0008d9e3-0d63-4943-ab38-75d86a5dd9bd”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
I wouldn\u2019t accept that characterisation \u2026 One of the first steps of this government is to restore economic stability, The budget will absolutely deliver on that, delivering on the robust fiscal rules that were that were set out in the manifesto. That includes moving the current budget into balance, that includes debt as a share of the economy.<\/p>\n
n <\/p>\n
More broadly, the budget will be about fixing the foundations of the economy, delivering stability, because it\u2019s only with economic stability that we\u2019ll get the growth and investment that the economy needs, that public services need, and deliver the higher living standards for people across the country.<\/p>\n
n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
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Graeme Wearden<\/strong> has more on the government\u2019s rising borrowing costs on his business live blog.<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”a5c66e84-c690-42fa-b0f9-f9235af2de8f”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”Shein\u2019s UK profits double; Water companies penalised for poor performance; China targets EU brandy \u2013 business live”,”elementId”:”da20567d-3d74-4580-a2cf-8c54cbc9bf31″,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/live\/2024\/oct\/08\/uk-borrowing-costs-climb-budget-water-companies-157m-penalty-poor-performance-pollution-leaks-business-live”}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1728386522000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.22\u00a0EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1728387085000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.31\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1728387086000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.31\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.31″,”title”:”No 10 dismisses claims borrowing costs going up because of concerns about budget plans”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 8 Oct 2024 08.42 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 8 Oct 2024 04.17 EDT”},{“id”:”67050d338f08314bc7ac9df8″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
Yesterday Alastair Campbell,<\/strong> Tony Blair\u2019s former communictions chief, said a big reason why the government was in political difficulties<\/a> was the fact that it decided to wait almost 16 weeks from the election before holding a budget.<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”802eb71b-19cb-4628-b4e8-3f19b1c438d8″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
On the Today programme this morning Liam Byrne,<\/strong> the Labour<\/a> MP and former Treasury minister who chairs the Commons business committee, defended the government\u2019s decision to wait that long.<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”e72a63bd-1292-4222-a989-1c8ec32b75ce”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
Byrne said that, although there were \u201cvirtues getting the budget done fast\u201d, there were also good reasons for waiting until the end of October.<\/p>\n
“,”elementId”:”9efea756-e8e3-40a8-926f-b7f80518ab20″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
Campbell said that after the elections in. 1979, 1997 and 2010, budgets were held respectively five weeks later, eight weeks later and six weeks later.<\/p>\n
“,”elementId”:”fae51b40-4719-4dc1-99cd-9259e47bc04e”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
But now the Office for Budget<\/a> Responsibility has to publish an economic assessmement alongside the budget, and that takes at least 10 weeks, Byrne said.<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”9d214a07-87e6-4d1b-a89b-a989f48c97e0″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
He also said there was an interest rate cut at the start of August, public sector pay deals were only agreed at the end of July, and new planning rules were published at the start of August. All these factors influence the budget, he argued. He went on:<\/p>\n
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n <\/p>\n
You definitely can do these things fast \u2013 Liz Truss did it in 18 days \u2013 but I think the whole country will thank the chancellor for not doing a Liz Truss, because now is the time to be strategic and not slapdash.<\/p>\n
n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
“,”elementId”:”23224d2e-a60f-485e-95d4-ff7b2c18a637″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
The budget will be on Wednesday 30 October.<\/p>\n
“,”elementId”:”eb47e501-81b7-485f-a231-4770105d10ee”}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1728384307000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”06.45\u00a0EDT”,”blockLastUpdated”:1728385457000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.04\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublished”:1728385457000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.04\u00a0EDT”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.04″,”title”:”Labour’s Liam Byrne defends decision to delay budget until end of October, despite claims that’s led to government drift”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 8 Oct 2024 08.42 EDT”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 8 Oct 2024 04.17 EDT”},{“id”:”67050b8e8f08b54ab8683a68″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
Yesterday, in response to a question from Andrew Mitchell, his Tory shadow, about whether the Chagossians were consulted about the government\u2019s deal handing over sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, David Lammy<\/strong>, the foreign secrtary, said<\/a>: \u201cOf course we kept the Chagossians informed all along the way.\u201d<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”16280509-3a17-43e9-a8f7-bc0f62c7a91d”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”<\/p>\n
Chagossian Voices,<\/strong> a group representing Chagossians, says Lammy was not telling the truth.<\/p>\n“,”elementId”:”2a511b43-a75b-4b47-8a2c-1fe8ac3984c4″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TweetBlockElement”,”source”:”Twitter”,”id”:”1843395462746751305″,”elementId”:”24f58f97-6997-47e1-899b-c95d66d9cafe”,”hasMedia”:false,”role”:”inline”,”url”:”https:\/\/x.com\/ChagossianVoic2\/status\/1843395462746751305″,”isThirdPartyTracking”:false,”html”:”<\/p>\n