Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.<\/p>\n
Andrew Harnik | Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
The U.S. Federal Reserve can afford to make a jumbo 50 basis points rate cut next week without spooking markets, an analyst has suggested, as opinion on the central bank’s forthcoming meeting remains hotly divided.<\/p>\n
Michael Yoshikami, CEO of Destination Wealth Management, said Monday that a deeper cut would demonstrate that the central bank is ready to act without signalling deeper concerns of a broader downturn.<\/p>\n
“I would not be surprised if they jumped all the way to 50 basis points,” Yoshikami told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe.”<\/p>\n
“That would be considered, on one hand, a very positive sign the Fed is doing what is needed to support jobs growth,” he continued. “I think the Fed at this point is ready to get out ahead of this.”<\/p>\n
His comment follow similar remarks Friday from Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz, who said the Fed should deliver a half-point interest rate cut at its next meeting, arguing that it went “too far, too fast”<\/a> with its previous policy tightening.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/img><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n Policymakers are\u00a0widely expected<\/a> to lower rates when they meet on Sept. 17-18, but the extent of the move remains unclear. A disappointing jobs print<\/a> on Friday stoked fears of a slowing labor market and briefly tipped market expectations toward a larger cut, before shifting back.<\/p>\n Traders are now pricing in around a 75% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in September, while 25% are pricing in a 50 bps rate reduction, according to the\u00a0CME Group’s FedWatch Tool<\/a>. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.<\/p>\n Yoshikami acknowledged that a larger cut could reinforce fears that a “recessionary ball” is coming, but he insisted that such views were overblown, noting that both unemployment and interest rates remain low by historic levels and company earnings have been strong.<\/p>\n He said the recent market sell-off, which saw the S&P 500 notch its worst week since March 2023<\/a>, was based on “massive profits” accrued last month. August saw all the major indices post gains<\/a> despite a volatile start to the month, while September is traditionally a weaker trading period.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n <\/img><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n Thanos Papasavvas, founder and chief investment officer of ABP Invest, also acknowledged a “rise in concern” around a potential economic downturn.<\/p>\n The research firm recently adjusted its probability of a U.S. recession to a “relatively contained” 30% from a “mild” 25% in June. However, Papasavvas said that the underlying components of the economy \u2014 manufacturing and unemployment rates \u2014 were “still resilient.”<\/p>\n “We’re not particularly concerned that we’re heading into a U.S. recession,” Papasavvas told CNBC Monday.<\/p>\n